Polymarket Trader

ijnkwww

0xa50f734c073759db9e61c2fed5ead88f70d4133e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $61.73
Realized PnL: $26.09
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $41.78
Potential payout: $50.04
Potential profit: $8.26
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$7.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.81
Potential profit: $28.81
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.44
Potential profit: $26.44
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $24.09
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.59
Potential profit: $11.59
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 23.7%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $10.99
Potential profit: $8.39
Multiplier: 4.23x
User PnL: $1.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $9.79
Potential payout: $10.37
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.05
Potential profit: $10.05
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.03
Potential profit: $10.03
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.01
Potential profit: $9.01
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.21
Potential profit: $6.21
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Bradley Barcola be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $6.01
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.57
Potential profit: $4.57
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14
Potential profit: $2.14
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

No position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C or higher on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Lonzo Ball lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?

No 90.9% 10.37 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 9.1% 10.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

No 98.2% 50.04 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 7?

No 99.9% 10.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 44.8% 2.23 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on July 3?

No 99.8% 5.61 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 92.8% 13.05 shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Yes 11.1% 9.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 29?

No 99.9% 5.61 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 82% 5.29 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 12.5% 8 shares