Polymarket Trader

0xa515...0093

0xa515e65a9b0a327aca08b0a863d5d69f81b10093

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $5.87
Realized PnL: $1.72
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $110.78
Potential profit: $110.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $49.87
Potential profit: $49.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $39.9
Potential profit: $39.74
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $39.9
Potential profit: $39.6
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $39.9
Potential profit: $39.7
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $39.89
Potential profit: $39.71
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $33.24
Potential profit: $33.16
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 22-28?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $32.15
Potential profit: $31.84
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will a player representing Senegal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $29.46
Potential profit: $29.36
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will XRP reach $1.60 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $28.49
Potential profit: $28.26
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Exact Score: Morocco 0 - 2 Haiti?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $28.49
Potential profit: $28.26
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $28.25
Potential profit: $27.95
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.1

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-5.5)

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $26.04
Potential profit: $24.52
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $24.93
Potential profit: $24.72
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Solana reach $100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $23.93
Potential profit: $23.77
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $22.15
Potential profit: $21.87
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $19.95
Potential profit: $19.76
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 22-28?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $19.95
Potential profit: $19.74
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.01

Paraguay position

Spread: Paraguay (-3.5)

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $19.6
Potential profit: $19.33
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $17.88
Potential profit: $17.75
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $17.83
Potential profit: $17.74
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will XRP dip to $0.60 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $17.82
Potential profit: $17.63
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.62
Potential profit: $16.62
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $16.26
Potential profit: $16.03
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 12.7%
Multiplier: 7.91x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will a player representing Portugal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 9.1%
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or below on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $0.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?

Yes 0.9% 39.9 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 2.9% 8.31 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 2% 12.46 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 25?

Yes 5% 6.65 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 29?

No 1.5% 16.8 shares