Polymarket Trader

Hashbrown

0xa52b785a5510117ac3ae03d75d029f89a36c9480

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $178.73K
Realized PnL: $136.77K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $18.82K
Potential payout: $102K
Potential profit: $83.18K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $2.4K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $13.92K
Potential payout: $102K
Potential profit: $88.08K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$3.21K

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $12.98K
Potential payout: $101K
Potential profit: $88.02K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $3.18K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $11.87K
Potential payout: $101K
Potential profit: $89.13K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $3.89K

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $6.72K
Potential payout: $101K
Potential profit: $94.28K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$1.77K

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $7.42K
Potential payout: $101K
Potential profit: $93.58K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$3.28K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $67.05K
Potential payout: $92.48K
Potential profit: $25.43K
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$18.03K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $3.12K
Potential payout: $79K
Potential profit: $75.88K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$953.06

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $4.7K
Potential payout: $79K
Potential profit: $74.3K
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $592.5

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $19.15K
Potential payout: $19.6K
Potential profit: $450.72
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $889.07

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $6.46K
Potential payout: $6.68K
Potential profit: $223.91
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.1K

No position

Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.89K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $110
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $130

Yes position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $370.96
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$84.98

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $155.39
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $180.43

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $925
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $75
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $135

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $625.17
Potential payout: $844.83
Potential profit: $219.66
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $70.73

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $452.4
Potential payout: $561.99
Potential profit: $109.59
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$34.67

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $362.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $137.5
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$22.5

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $23.72
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $41.28
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$17.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.51K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.3K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.96K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.48K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.39K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.38K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.97K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.46K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?

Ends May 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4K

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98K

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22K

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01K

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99K

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

Kolkata Knight Riders position

Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

No 94.8% 5,467.08 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

No 99% 12,000 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

No 98% 10,450.29 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

No 94% 2,000 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

No 99.2% 5,165 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

No 99.1% 10 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 99% 10,000 shares
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Yes 6% 2,000 shares
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Yes 86.2% 2,000 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

No 97.9% 3,500.33 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

No 98.4% 12,665.23 shares
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?

No 99% 12,019 shares