No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $29.28
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.38
Polymarket Trader
xp168
0xa53076b30fea4abd07a5239f28ce0c608821aa6b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $55.42
- Realized PnL
- $9.29
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $26.14
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $1.86
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
US strike on Cuba by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
US strike on Colombia by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will CZ return to Binance by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Ethereum all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.1% 13 shares
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.2% 13 shares
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98% 19 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No 95.5% 33 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No 95.6% 15 shares
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.1% 19 shares
- Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.9% 12 shares
- Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99% 12 shares
- Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.9% 12 shares
- Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99% 12 shares
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.9% 18 shares
- Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.9% 14 shares