Polymarket Trader

23g24gb

@sonhm20

0xa53239cb9e2af2a4f53012fa02fe6ee2e7c3cc03

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $84.19
Realized PnL: $3.81K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$13

No position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$27

Up position

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$93

Yes position

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $40.43
Potential payout: $197.2
Potential profit: $156.77
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$17.09

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$15.1

Yes position

Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $23.1
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $116.9
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$26.5

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$11.85

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$33.99

Yes position

Will Robert Wessels win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Speed say "Green Apple" on stream?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $9.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $10.6
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $13.65
Potential profit: $4.65
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will Christopher Bouchat win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.79
Potential profit: $9.79
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will Adam Kurtz win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $7.78
Potential profit: $7.69
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$3.8

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $4.11
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Carl Brunner win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.84
Potential profit: $1.84
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Hornets position

Hornets vs. Bulls

Ends Jan 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400

Suns position

Suns vs. Wizards

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.25

Wild position

Wild vs. Golden Knights

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kamala" 25 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?

Ends Oct 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.63

No position

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.49

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88.9

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Pistons

Ends Nov 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.86

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.84

No position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.21

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.55

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.05

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.6

Yes position

Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42

Nuggets position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.47

No position

Will the match between Liverpool and Bologna end in a draw?

Ends Oct 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.95

Yes position

Will Uniswap Labs win 2025 Uniswap Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.42

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.78

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.42

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.81

Yes position

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 2 above $100?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.8

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 86% 450 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 86% 4,500 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Yes 60% 28 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Yes 3.9% 47.6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Yes 3.9% 47.6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Yes 3.9% 47.6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Yes 3.9% 47.6 shares
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?

Yes 85% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

No 76% 50 shares
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Yes 4.2% 50 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 31% 40.71 shares
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

No 57% 50 shares