Polymarket Trader

Mmario8

0xa53b126fca0ad9a259fca65fed31cd92fd9be238

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $51.98
Realized PnL: $39.21
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Karen Khachanov position

Halle Open: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinn

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.19
Potential profit: $117.19
User PnL: -$99.61

Dayana Yastremska position

Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.01
Potential profit: $89.01
User PnL: -$66.76

Damir Dzumhur position

Parma: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Damir Dzumhur

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.34
Potential profit: $38.34
User PnL: -$21.68

Coleman Wong position

Libema Open, Qualification: Coleman Wong vs James McCabe

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.54
Potential profit: $11.54
User PnL: -$9

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68.4%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $8.24
Potential profit: $2.6
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $5.62
Potential payout: $6.85
Potential profit: $1.23
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $1.83
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $1.63
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $4.52
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $1.89
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $5.39
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $0.7
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $5.27
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $0.82
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $5.3
Potential payout: $6.02
Potential profit: $0.72
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $5.6
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $5.27
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

David Jorda Sanchis position

Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.23

Julia Grabher position

Brescia: Julia Grabher vs Chloe Paquet

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.9

Marco Cecchinato position

Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.97

Dali Blanch position

Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09

Barbora Krejcikova position

Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?

No 78% 6.41 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

No 73% 6.85 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

No 82% 6.1 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

No 84% 5.95 shares
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?

No 75% 6.67 shares
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

No 60.7% 8.24 shares
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

No 83% 6.02 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 78% 6.41 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 82% 6.1 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 94.9% 5.27 shares
Halle Open: Karen Khachanov vs Ethan Quinn

Karen Khachanov 85% 117.19 shares
Brescia: Julia Grabher vs Chloe Paquet

Julia Grabher 99.9% 100 shares