Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.69K
- Potential profit
- $79.69K
- User PnL
- -$387.84
Polymarket Trader
pleasehelpme
0xa53efb50115848d114b6203dd2ae664bee2193e6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7
- Realized PnL
- $2.72K
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.97K
- Potential profit
- $78.97K
- User PnL
- -$78.97
No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62K
- Potential profit
- $62K
- User PnL
- -$62
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.08K
- Potential profit
- $23.08K
- User PnL
- -$76.76
No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.76K
- Potential profit
- $16.76K
- User PnL
- -$33.52
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.78K
- Potential profit
- $12.78K
- User PnL
- -$18.19
Yes position
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $12K
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.71K
- Potential profit
- $10.71K
- User PnL
- -$10.71
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.71K
- Potential profit
- $10.71K
- User PnL
- -$10.71
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.43K
- Potential profit
- $10.43K
- User PnL
- -$10.43
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.79K
- Potential profit
- $9.79K
- User PnL
- -$42.03
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.34K
- Potential profit
- $8.34K
- User PnL
- -$313.22
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.16K
- Potential profit
- $7.16K
- User PnL
- -$132.9
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.96K
- Potential profit
- $6.96K
- User PnL
- -$6.96
No position
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.79K
- Potential profit
- $6.79K
- User PnL
- -$6.79
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.49K
- Potential profit
- $5.49K
- User PnL
- -$21.97
Yes position
US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.4K
- Potential profit
- $4.4K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.29K
- Potential profit
- $4.29K
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.14K
- Potential profit
- $4.14K
- User PnL
- -$95.17
No position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.84K
- Potential profit
- $3.84K
- User PnL
- -$7.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $300.62
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.09
Yes position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.23
Up position
BNB Up or Down on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.84
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.47
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.65
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.05
Up position
BNB Up or Down on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C or higher on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 0.1% 7,000 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Yes 0.1% 6,960 shares
- Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No 0.1% 1,460 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,528.42 shares
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?No 0.2% 3,840 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?Yes 0.1% 7,000 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.9% 1,528.42 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Yes 1.9% 562.63 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Yes 2.2% 969.78 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No 0.1% 10,650 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.7% 3,138.57 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.4% 5,492.5 shares