No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $64.35
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $91.65
Polymarket Trader
sdgvas
0xa542175126e5792774b270b587cfa70542f7e752
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.37K
- Realized PnL
- $2.06K
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 86.6%
- Current value
- $389.48
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $60.52
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $7.88
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $243.95
- Potential payout
- $410
- Potential profit
- $166.05
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $18.45
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $264.25
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $85.75
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $15.75
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $239.75
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $110.25
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $1.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
XRP Up or Down on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $747.38
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $22.68
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.4%
- Multiplier
- 9.62x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Aurora Gaming position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.71
No position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Multiplier
- 22.99x
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.41K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No 71% 350 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Yes 68% 350 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 84.8% 450 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 55% 410 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 91% 270 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes 6.7% 2,199.99 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 88% 1,300 shares
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 80.1% 500 shares
- Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes 4.3% 26.13 shares
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No 80.5% 500 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 68% 833.43 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes 68% 828.96 shares