Yes position
Will Sol Vega win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $855.93
- Potential profit
- $855.93
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Polymarket Trader
0xA54a4FdB8FdDf3b5b3cF0BFf4131268d199eFb00-1764830068960
0xa54a4fdb8fddf3b5b3cf0bff4131268d199efb00
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $241.36
- Realized PnL
- $178.09
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $172.17
- Potential payout
- $573.9
- Potential profit
- $401.73
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $18.63
Yes position
Will Maxiane Rodrigues win Big Brother Brasil 26?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $68.99
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $31.01
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$16.01
Yes position
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.84
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $25.9
- Potential profit
- $25.86
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will Bruno Fernandes be the player with the most assists in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.88
- Potential profit
- $15.88
- User PnL
- -$2.12
Under position
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.06
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
No position
José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.44
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.91
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54
Yes position
Will Meta (META) close above $540 end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will an Individual Neutral Athlete record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Poland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $100 Week of April 13 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Finland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $340 end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will West Ham finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?Yes 99.5% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?Yes 99.5% 100 shares
- Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5Under 50% 10 shares
- Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No 99.5% 200 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes 28% 151.86 shares
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?Yes 95.2% 25 shares
- Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in May?No 99.1% 50 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes 97.5% 20 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes 97.3% 20 shares
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $340 end of April?Yes 99% 7.5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?No 94.3% 7.28 shares
- Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 0.1% 183.33 shares