Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $514.39
- Potential profit
- $514.39
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
Cens
0xa5551bad626b0b1078661c36772849d2d3b681a9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.94
- Realized PnL
- $15.25
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210.92
- Potential profit
- $210.92
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.19
- Potential profit
- $123.19
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $33.09
- Potential profit
- $30.81
- Multiplier
- 14.49x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.5
- Potential profit
- $27.5
- User PnL
- -$9.68
Yes position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.36
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$4.64
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $17.22
- Potential profit
- $15.93
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.17
- Potential profit
- $8.17
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.91
- Potential profit
- $7.91
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.29
- Potential profit
- $7.29
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.78
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?Yes 11% 33.09 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?Yes 23% 17.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 24?Yes 23% 7.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24?Yes 36% 8.17 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?Yes 82% 7.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23?Yes 17% 7.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 20?Yes 15% 5.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on May 20?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 20?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 20?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on May 20?Yes 0.3% 314.39 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 20?Yes 0.5% 210.92 shares