Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $9.43
- Potential payout
- $258.37
- Potential profit
- $248.94
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Polymarket Trader
IS18
0xa556066aa6f661377fc0c12156d42a27214ccf96
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $205.69
- Realized PnL
- $103.8
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $159.17
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $28.97
- Potential payout
- $103.45
- Potential profit
- $74.48
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.03
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$51
No position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $51.75
- Potential payout
- $87.72
- Potential profit
- $35.96
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $58.64
- Potential payout
- $67.8
- Potential profit
- $9.15
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $18.64
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $49.4
- Potential payout
- $51.72
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $19.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.62
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.8
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.91
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.69
Yes position
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.75
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$20.19
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.94
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31.21
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.9% 258.37 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?Yes 6% 166.67 shares
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?Yes 29% 103.45 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No 57% 87.72 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 58% 51.72 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98.2% 122.83 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 86.3% 17.38 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 1.4% 1,108.87 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 3.2% 1,108.87 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 47% 80 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 39.9% 122.84 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 59% 67.8 shares