Polymarket Trader

MES99

0xa560075072f9ead66e81a87aa4fd1b8bd4daa2a9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.2
Realized PnL: $78.2
Win rate: 70.6%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.25
Potential profit: $153.25
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.99
Potential profit: $34.99
User PnL: -$3.12

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $23.74
Potential profit: $23.11
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.26
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Legend" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.8

Yes position

Will Moisés Caicedo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.83
Potential profit: $10.83
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will William Pacho score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Miguel Almirón score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Gavi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.15
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2.95

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $6.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.85
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Antonio Rüdiger score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.33

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.38

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.17

Yes position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

Will Luis Javier Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

Yes position

Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.22

Alejandro Tabilo position

Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.73

Moise Kouame position

Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 23% 8.7 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 48% 10.42 shares
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will England win on 2026-06-23?

10% 9.98 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 54% 10 shares
Will Luka Modrić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 43% 8 shares
Will Gavi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38% 10 shares
Will Luis Javier Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 27% 10 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 99.7% 5 shares
Will the announcers say "What A Save" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 52% 5 shares
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 15% 7.15 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?

Yes 16% 30 shares
Will William Pacho score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14% 10 shares