No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $43.47K
- Potential payout
- $46.41K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Polymarket Trader
pmcb
0xa56902ddb745968ad747f3a5a2a5f07ee68d96ec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $116.6K
- Realized PnL
- $24.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $27.15K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $2.85K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $19.68K
- Potential payout
- $21K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $14.89K
- Potential payout
- $17.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.73K
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$2.84K
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $2.4K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $1.82K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $3.18K
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $14.38
- User PnL
- $185.7
No position
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $2.4K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $100
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- User PnL
- -$1.41K
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $360
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $999.97
- User PnL
- -$649.98
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $457.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $42.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $67.5
Yes position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $21.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $228.75
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$8.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of November?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
No position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560.14
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.96
No position
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.74
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.85
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188
No position
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.04
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.01
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145
No position
Will Google dip to $300 in Nov 25-28?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 78% 500 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.5% 2,568.04 shares
- Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?No 90% 2,500 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 3,564.23 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 443.32 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 500.76 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 491.69 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?No 97% 539 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 77% 20 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 60% 723.12 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 543.87 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 1,237.57 shares