Polymarket Trader

CoreWriter

0xa56cc8bcd37909e242d2449696227e5e0489a440

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.46K
Realized PnL: $6.04K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$380

Yes position

100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.63K
Potential profit: $6.63K
User PnL: -$421.45

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26K
Potential profit: $5.26K
User PnL: -$773.99

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.71K
Potential profit: $3.71K
User PnL: -$2.21K

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $70.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.93K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $25.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $2.26K
User PnL: -$692.8

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $141.75
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $101.95

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $33
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.85K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $614.53
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$209.13

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.3%
Current value: $539.21
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 3.31x
User PnL: -$612.98

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $295.43
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $961.71
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$119.57

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$142

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$196.25

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$590

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $427.5
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $472.5
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$85.5

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $768
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $32
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $368

Yes position

Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $775.47
Potential profit: $775.47
User PnL: -$626.5

No position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $572.4
Potential payout: $719.99
Potential profit: $147.6
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$22.8

No position

Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $210
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $490
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$233

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $690.28
Potential profit: $690.28
User PnL: -$184

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $392.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $107.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $487.56
Potential profit: $487.56
User PnL: -$176.55

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $459.99
Potential profit: $459.99
User PnL: -$238.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $650.35

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $479.25

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420.87

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $358.11

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.15

No position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.55

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.29

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.19

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.84

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.97

No position

Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.4

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.46

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.5

No position

Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.51

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.83

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.41

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.89

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.13

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5

Under 84% 19.6 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5

Under 51% 19.61 shares
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 25% 20 shares
Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in June?

No 50% 800 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11?

Yes 92% 300 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 28% 357.14 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 35.8% 558.66 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.9% 953.92 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.5% 3,000 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90.7% 220.51 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Yes 83% 600 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Yes 59% 1,000 shares