Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $320.06K
- Potential payout
- $320.54K
- Potential profit
- $480.81
- User PnL
- $160.59
Polymarket Trader
Top1-J
0xa5761fa386787d4bb7fb9f866acf034647538678
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $346.99K
- Realized PnL
- $289.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $3.4K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $36.6K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $1.74K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $38.26K
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $197.56
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $300
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $39.7K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.24K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $39.98K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $220
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $39.78K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $6.2K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $33.8K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $4.66K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $300
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $39.7K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.24K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $540
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $39.46K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$998.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $1.74K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $38.26K
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $197.56
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $1.54K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $38.46K
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $39.9K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.44K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $140
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $39.86K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.4K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $380
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $39.62K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.16K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $38.94K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$478.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $5.8K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $34.2K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $4.26K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $39.98K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $39.98K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.98K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $39.98K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $3K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $37K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $140
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $39.86K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.4K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $39.98K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $140
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $39.86K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.4K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $39.9K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.44K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.58K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.62K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.65K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.52K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.46K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.46K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.54K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.54K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.54K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.08K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.61K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.15K
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.17K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $961.54
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.29
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.53
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $455.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.79
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $83.09
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.4
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.28
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 0.2% 6,935 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 0.2% 2,760 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 0.2% 960 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 117,234.47 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 100,200.4 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 62,124.25 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 40,080.16 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 0.1% 4,640.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 0.1% 8,107.2 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 900 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 0.2% 867.26 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 99.6% 1,000 shares