Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $443.99
- Potential profit
- $442.88
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$29.41
Polymarket Trader
striveboy
@web6chonglang
0xa57720b308e4f9823a4fb85d2b24df0f4b5ca22a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $55.55
- Realized PnL
- $496.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $410
- Potential profit
- $402.01
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155.16
- Potential profit
- $155.16
- User PnL
- -$5.13
Yes position
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.82
- Potential payout
- $137.41
- Potential profit
- $134.59
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $26.94
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $93.06
- Multiplier
- 4.45x
- User PnL
- -$8.75
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $110.72
- Potential profit
- $110.22
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$12.68
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.2
- Potential profit
- $96.2
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.97
- Potential profit
- $53.97
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.6
No position
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $7.11
- Potential payout
- $45.87
- Potential profit
- $38.76
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$10.05
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $25.01
- Potential profit
- $24.82
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.48
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.65
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.65
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.68
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.06
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $6.95
- Potential profit
- $5.42
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.53
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $83.06
No position
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $81.52
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on India next?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.72
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.14
No position
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.1
Yes position
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.54
No position
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.01
No position
Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 4?
Ends Jul 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.12
Yes position
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.8
Yes position
Fact Check: Was Trump wearing a bulletproof vest?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.31
No position
Biden drops out in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.38
Yes position
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.05
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.12
Yes position
Nvidia largest company on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.45
No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.27
Democrat position
Was the shooter a Democrat or Republican?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will Biden say "Ear" during Lester Holt interview?
Ends Jul 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Rainbow airdrop by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
N
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.41
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.35
Yes position
No airdrop in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Erling Haaland score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 77% 5 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?Yes 30% 10 shares
- Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No 92% 14.46 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?Yes 3.4% 105.16 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?Yes 2.5% 92.39 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?Yes 2.5% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?Yes 3.6% 107.93 shares
- Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes 89.1% 5 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 76% 5 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 93% 20 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No 95.5% 5 shares
- Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?Yes 8% 100 shares