Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $52.71
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $233
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $12.71
Polymarket Trader
ForeverRed
0xa577976b74e1461dde951b0db173af5a3b26b06a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $832.32
- Realized PnL
- $1.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $74.06
- Potential payout
- $149.62
- Potential profit
- $75.56
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$5.94
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.15
- Potential profit
- $148.15
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $133.89
- Potential payout
- $140.2
- Potential profit
- $6.31
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $53.89
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $36.55
- Potential payout
- $109.09
- Potential profit
- $72.55
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$23.45
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $102.05
- Potential payout
- $108.11
- Potential profit
- $6.05
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $62.05
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $25.48
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $78.52
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $5.48
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.75
- Potential profit
- $95.75
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.27
- Potential profit
- $92.27
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $16.96
- Potential payout
- $86.96
- Potential profit
- $70
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$3.04
Yes position
Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $54.76
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $25.24
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $34.76
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $67.8
- Potential payout
- $77.05
- Potential profit
- $9.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $17.8
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.4%
- Current value
- $32.24
- Potential payout
- $76.04
- Potential profit
- $43.8
- Multiplier
- 2.36x
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.57
- Potential profit
- $65.57
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.7
- Potential profit
- $59.7
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $49.74
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $2.89
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $9.74
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $50.71
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $1.92
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $10.71
Yes position
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $38.56
- Potential payout
- $44.58
- Potential profit
- $6.02
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $19.56
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $27.89
- Potential payout
- $42.25
- Potential profit
- $14.37
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.11
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $38.66
- Potential payout
- $42.25
- Potential profit
- $3.59
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $8.66
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.1
- Potential profit
- $41.1
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $30.26
- Potential payout
- $40.62
- Potential profit
- $10.36
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.48
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.78
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.68
No position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 20?
Ends Sep 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.73
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.08
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.3
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.86
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.81
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.47
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.34
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.75
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.5
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.95
No position
US strikes Yemen by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.08
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.1
No position
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.88
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.77
No position
Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.5
No position
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.4
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.52
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.87
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.89
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.74
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 23% 86.96 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 39.5% 76.04 shares
- Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?Yes 25% 80 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 45% 66.67 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 19.2% 104 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 71% 42.25 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 47% 85.11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 99% 67.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99% 117.64 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 76% 52.63 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 73.9% 40.62 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 71% 42.25 shares