Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249.35
- Potential profit
- $249.35
- User PnL
- -$34.91
Polymarket Trader
Michael282
0xa57b714833844d3daa4a1ea5b977e8b5458eece0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $212.57
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ethereum all time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.64
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?Yes 14% 249.35 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No 97.8% 20.82 shares
- Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No 71% 14.08 shares
- Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes 96.4% 6.08 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No 98.7% 12.16 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 99.2% 2,576.99 shares
- Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.1% 34,470 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 9.6% 338.26 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 88.3% 2,684.43 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No 98% 6.12 shares
- Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?No 99.8% 5.01 shares