Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
13245768
0xa57ccfb7da8a03c82b9ba66a5076ad3a010bbf42
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.13
- Realized PnL
- $549.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.4
- Potential profit
- $225.4
- User PnL
- -$24.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.39
- Potential profit
- $225.39
- User PnL
- -$24.77
Up position
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $196
- Potential profit
- $196
- User PnL
- -$3.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.3
- Potential profit
- $192.3
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $188.88
- Potential profit
- $188.88
- User PnL
- -$23.22
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.8
- Potential profit
- $156.8
- User PnL
- -$12.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155.9
- Potential profit
- $155.9
- User PnL
- -$12.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144
- Potential profit
- $144
- User PnL
- -$24.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.31
- Potential profit
- $128.31
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.3
- Potential profit
- $118.3
- User PnL
- -$8.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110.89
- Potential profit
- $110.89
- User PnL
- -$19.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.5
- Potential profit
- $94.5
- User PnL
- -$19.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94
- Potential profit
- $94
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.04
- Potential profit
- $73.04
- User PnL
- -$19.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.4
- Potential profit
- $61.4
- User PnL
- -$14.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.39
- Potential profit
- $61.39
- User PnL
- -$14.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.38
- Potential profit
- $61.38
- User PnL
- -$12.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.98
- Potential profit
- $57.98
- User PnL
- -$10.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.69
- Potential profit
- $53.69
- User PnL
- -$11.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $43.63
- Potential payout
- $43.67
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $33.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $136.13
No position
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.27
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.41
Yes position
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.61
GamerLegion position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.65
Colorado Rockies position
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.49
Trail Blazers position
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 23?No 88% 5.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 23?No 54% 9.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?Yes 23% 21.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?Yes 22.8% 21.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 23?Yes 47% 10.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 23?Yes 35% 14.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 23?No 65% 7.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?Yes 45% 11.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on June 24?No 31% 16.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 23?Yes 49% 10.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 23?Yes 36% 13.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 24?No 68% 7.35 shares