No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.85
- Potential payout
- $6.85
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
Polymarket Trader
matis
0xa5880324466f7d63d6336b96ac92c101e8ded283
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.2
- Realized PnL
- $24.23
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.44
- Potential payout
- $5.44
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.4
- Potential payout
- $5.4
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.4%
- Current value
- $2.51
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
AOC pregnant in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will the ECB announce no change at the June meeting?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will four SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No 99.9% 2 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 99.4% 5.44 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90.4% 2.78 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 5.4 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 5?No 99.9% 104.56 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?No 90.9% 4.66 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.8% 6.85 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 20?No 99.9% 162.21 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?Yes 99.9% 160.33 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?No 99.9% 170.64 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 22?No 99.9% 156.8 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?No 99.8% 3 shares