Yes position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $10.19
- Potential payout
- $328.61
- Potential profit
- $318.42
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$15.36
Polymarket Trader
ROOKIE
@rooksic
0xa58b3083d7d296221bf96f7565914f3121e6ef84
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.09K
- Realized PnL
- $2.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $310
- User PnL
- -$21.08
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $155
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $45
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $109
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $91
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $193
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $53
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $173
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $27
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $17
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $121
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $79
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $112.98
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $87.02
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $4.98
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$108.4
Yes position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$66
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $77.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $122.1
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $189
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $49
No position
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $66
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $134
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$94
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $183
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$49
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.6%
- Current value
- $47.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $152.9
- Multiplier
- 4.25x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $71
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $129
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$85
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$89.6
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $39
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $161
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$83
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $138.98
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $61.02
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $8.98
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.2%
- Current value
- $152.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $47.7
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $125
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $75
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $117
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $83
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$23
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $178.8
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $21.2
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.8
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.4
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.07
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $110
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.4
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.99
Yes position
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
Yes position
Canada recession before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.4
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82
Yes position
Will Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.6
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.5
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.6
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.07
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.99
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.6
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $55.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?Yes 82% 50 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?Yes 0.8% 50 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Yes 2.1% 50 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 88% 200 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes 92% 200 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 95% 200 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No 99.1% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.2% 200 shares
- Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?No 40% 50 shares
- Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 66.9% 14.8 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 98% 50 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?Yes 97.7% 200 shares