No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $4.48
- Potential profit
- $2.6
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Polymarket Trader
0xa58b...878f
0xa58b8f041bb847129c9ca5d28496a1d19467878f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $28.51
- Realized PnL
- $22.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $4.34
- Potential payout
- $4.47
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $3.57
- Potential payout
- $3.9
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $3.34
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $3.06
- Potential payout
- $3.15
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $2.28
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $2.1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $1.51
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.38
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $1.12
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.03
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 3?No 79% 1.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 3?No 67% 1.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 3?No 88% 1.15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 2?No 90.4% 1.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 3?No 98.3% 1.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?No 87% 1.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 2?No 87% 1.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 3?No 89% 1.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 2?No 90.5% 1.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 2?No 97% 1.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 2?No 97% 1.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 2?No 91% 1.11 shares