0xa58d...c97e

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.53
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $45.9
Potential profit: $45.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $45.11
Potential profit: $44.8
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$3.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.51
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $36.87
Potential payout: $37.11
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $33.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $30.22
Potential profit: $30.2
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $26.77
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $27.08
Potential profit: $26.98
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$2.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $26.28
Potential profit: $26.16
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $23.9
Potential profit: $23.89
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $4.56
Potential payout: $21.21
Potential profit: $16.65
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $5.17
Potential payout: $19.49
Potential profit: $14.33
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.51
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $17.07
Potential profit: $15.71
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17.02
Potential profit: $17.01
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.66
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.58
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on June 20?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.15
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $14.91
Potential payout: $15.01
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $10.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2.18
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $12.83
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $13.82
Potential profit: $9.6
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $13.45
Potential profit: $13.45
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12.36
Potential profit: $12.35
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $11.08
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$0.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 19?