Polymarket Trader

CrazyIrish

0xa592979ed14e8bcdd3f83c0e60e7c2f58c47e9ef

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.5
Realized PnL: $274.22
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Rippling IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $85.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $14.5
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$2.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.27
Potential profit: $63.27
User PnL: -$18.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.56
Potential profit: $53.56
User PnL: -$19.07

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.08
Potential profit: $44.08
User PnL: -$13.69

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$14.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.4

No position

Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Up 31% 44.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Down 40% 28.8 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Down 35.6% 53.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Down 30% 63.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Down 41.3% 54.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Down 35% 54.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Down 29.9% 63.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Down 31% 61.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Up 17% 110.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 27.8% 68.15 shares
Rippling IPO before 2027?

No 88% 76.7 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

No 99.9% 10 shares