Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $21.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $228.75
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$118.25
Polymarket Trader
sdvfwe
@bjbjbjb87
0xa59812a5fa433031c68f7655ec1823d03e592ff3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $92.25
- Realized PnL
- $10.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.72
- Potential profit
- $138.72
- User PnL
- -$73.11
No position
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$51
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93.5
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.63
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.73
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$14.73
Yes position
Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $48.85
- Potential profit
- $48.73
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.67
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $38.96
- Potential payout
- $39.26
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $27.7
- Potential profit
- $26.31
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.42
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Y
Yes position
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.8
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $0.8
OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $4.48
- Potential payout
- $18.3
- Potential profit
- $13.82
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$4.3
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.1%
- Current value
- $3.2
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $7.8
- Multiplier
- 3.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.77
- Potential profit
- $10.77
- User PnL
- -$7.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-04?
Ends Dec 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98K
Lakers position
Nets vs. Lakers
Ends Jan 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
Blue Jays position
Blue Jays vs. Rockies
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Feb 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2025-09-13?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700
No position
Will Wolves win on 2024-11-30?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.9
Texans position
Texans vs. Jaguars
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.05
Arizona position
Will Utah beat Arizona?
Ends Sep 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.01
No position
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $138.2
UAB position
Akron vs. UAB
Ends Sep 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $83.26
No position
Will Athletic Bilbao beat Roma?
Ends Sep 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.42
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73.8
No position
Will the match between Malmo vs. Rangers end in a draw?
Ends Sep 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.24
No position
Will Papa John’s International (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
Yes position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.28
Yes position
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.55
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Hawks
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.55
No position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026?No 4% 100 shares
- Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 15% 100 shares
- Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes 14% 8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?Yes 10% 44.41 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No 67% 219.99 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 58 million views on day 2?Yes 82.7% 100 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 91% 149.99 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.3% 50 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 71% 50 shares
- Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-09?No 60% 50 shares
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 62.8% 200 shares
- Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by April 30, 2026?No 89% 10 shares