Polymarket Trader

OUTlookman

@htfgg62617917

0xa59ece86935664bf091e511721883b71cbef06ed

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $107.48
Realized PnL: $3.1K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.86K
Potential profit: $19.86K
User PnL: -$19.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1K
Potential profit: $10.1K
User PnL: -$49.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.1K
Potential profit: $4.1K
User PnL: -$87.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$481

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$665.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $2.18K
User PnL: -$247.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.82K
User PnL: -$57.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $1.71K
User PnL: -$31.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $889
Potential profit: $889
User PnL: -$24.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $674
Potential profit: $674
User PnL: -$51.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 26.8%
Current value: $107.48
Potential payout: $401.81
Potential profit: $294.33
Multiplier: 3.74x
User PnL: $3.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$7.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $279.99
Potential profit: $279.99
User PnL: -$43.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222
Potential profit: $222
User PnL: -$56.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $209
User PnL: -$98.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181
Potential profit: $181
User PnL: -$81.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $542

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.16

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89

Yes position

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

US forces in Venezuela by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 26.4% 16.62 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 26.2% 115 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Yes 25.8% 267.19 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 44.9% 181 shares
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?

Yes 7.3% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 31.1% 300 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Yes 17% 43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?

Yes 47% 209 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 23% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Yes 46% 337.72 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 66.85 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Yes 61.3% 31.59 shares