Polymarket Trader

0xA5a3c17c9949E9245cC6BCF906CD5F15181349A6-1772700193660

0xa5a3c17c9949e9245cc6bcf906cd5f15181349a6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $156.07
Realized PnL: -$137
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.47K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $104.86
Potential payout: $571.43
Potential profit: $466.57
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: $4.86

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.75

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $262.84
Potential profit: $262.84
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $192.31
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.26
Potential profit: $105.26
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.45
Potential profit: $103.45
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.75
Potential profit: $95.75
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.95
Potential profit: $94.95
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $13.05
Potential payout: $88.5
Potential profit: $75.44
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.57
Potential profit: $84.57
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $13.33
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $53.33
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.63
Potential payout: $55.87
Potential profit: $52.23
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$6.37

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $6.59
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $38.86
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$3.41

Yes position

Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $31.08
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.85
Potential profit: $27.85
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $8.26
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$1.74

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.1%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $20.16
Potential profit: $16.31
Multiplier: 5.24x
User PnL: -$1.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Charlie Kirk" be said at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will "Most Advanced" or "Most Powerful" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Hamnet" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Dear Me - Diane Warren: Relentless win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Hamnet" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Ultra-wide" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Performance" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Apple Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Auto" or "Automobile" during tech signing event on Wednesday?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Kate Hudson win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 200 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 83.33 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 454.55 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.2% 416.67 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.7% 46.73 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.6% 1,666.67 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.4% 1,470.59 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 192.31 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.5% 571.43 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.3% 88.5 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.2% 49.02 shares