Yes position
Will Biden drop out by Friday?
Ends Feb 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
MatiasD
0xa5ac7578b5774706dbfbe940d026cfb8753a8a11
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $344.51
- Realized PnL
- $275.34
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Was the Super Bowl rigged?
Ends Feb 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$13.95
Yes position
Base airdrop by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $939.19
- Potential profit
- $939.19
- User PnL
- -$9.39
Yes position
Will Zone of Interest win the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?
Ends Mar 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $913.93
- Potential profit
- $913.93
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Mexican Presidential Election: Will Jorge Álvarez Máynez win?
Ends May 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $466.25
- Potential profit
- $466.25
- User PnL
- -$3.73
Yes position
Mexican Presidential Election: Will another candidate win?
Ends May 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $326.6
- Potential profit
- $326.6
- User PnL
- -$3.04
ETH position
Will BTC or ETH reach all-time high first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.43
- Potential profit
- $171.43
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$27.2
Yes position
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $156.25
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $56.25
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.99
- Potential profit
- $136.99
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
More migrant encounters at border in February compared to January?
Ends Mar 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Oppenheimer win the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?
Ends Mar 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will American Fiction win the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?
Ends Mar 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $45.45
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $35.45
Y
Yes position
NY-3 Special Election: Will Suozzi (D) win by over 5%?
Ends Feb 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $41.8
- Potential payout
- $41.8
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.51
Yes position
Martha Pollack out as Cornell President before March?
Ends Feb 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.02
- Potential profit
- $5.02
- User PnL
- -$0.02
ten Hag position
Who Gets Sacked First: Erik ten Hag or Mauricio Pochettino?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Rainbow airdrop by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WIF hit $1 by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.26
No position
Will US gain less than 200k jobs in February?
Ends Mar 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.44
Yes position
Will Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) beat More Light?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.5
Yes position
Will NYC have less than 3.5 inches of snowfall on Tuesday?
Ends Feb 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.5
Yes position
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.84
No position
Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by more than 50% of the vote?
Ends Feb 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
No position
New Zhu Su/Kyle Davies crypto company before March?
Ends Feb 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Will "Oppenheimer" win the Oscar for Best Picture?
Ends Mar 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.18
No position
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s?
Ends Feb 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.05
Yes position
Will Ben Armstrong vs. More Light have no official winner?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.5
Yes position
Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday?
Ends Feb 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99
Yes position
US inflation >0.1% from Jan to Feb 2024?
Ends Feb 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Pilip position
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R)
Ends Feb 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Starknet airdrop in February?
Ends Feb 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
More migrant encounters at border in February compared to January?
Ends Mar 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Saga airdrop By March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Fani Willis off Georgia case by Feb 29?
Ends Feb 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
US inflation >0.1% from Jan to Feb 2024?
Ends Feb 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Barry Keoghan win the BAFTA for Best Actor?
Ends Feb 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Walmart buy Vizio in February?
Ends Feb 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Cillian Murphy win the BAFTA for Best Actor?
Ends Feb 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.15
No position
Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday?
Ends Feb 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.8
No position
Will Donald Trump endorse Lara Trump for RNC co-chair in February?
Ends Feb 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Argentina presidential election go to a second round?
Ends Oct 23, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Oppenheimer" win the Oscar for Best Picture?Yes 97.8% 902.85 shares
- Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s?No 96% 326.3 shares
- Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s?Yes 4% 5,181.39 shares
- Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s?Yes 4% 2,000 shares
- Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s?Yes 5% 400 shares
- Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s?Yes 37% 48.65 shares
- Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s?Yes 57% 254 shares
- Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s?Yes 56% 700 shares
- Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s?Yes 59% 350 shares
- Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday?No 0.1% 200 shares
- Will Zone of Interest win the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?Yes 2.7% 913.93 shares
- Will Oppenheimer win the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?Yes 52% 76.92 shares