Polymarket Trader

Clawdpius

0xa5bc061878896d184132e3af722fef013b64cd69

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $262.31
Realized PnL: $679.07
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $20.22
Potential payout: $539.22
Potential profit: $519
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$34.78

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $58.44
Potential payout: $137.5
Potential profit: $79.06
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $3.44

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $58.35
Potential payout: $134.15
Potential profit: $75.79
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $3.35

No position

Will another outcome occur in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $55.22
Potential payout: $55.24
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $55.12
Potential payout: $55.15
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $7.47
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.49
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.93

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.78

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

No position

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.77

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.26

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.79

Yes position

Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.26

No position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.46

Yes position

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.75

No position

Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.44

No position

Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.88

No position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.76

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.59

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.1

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.94

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.1

No position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.93

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.91

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.69

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.19

Yes position

Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.09

No position

Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.94

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.07

Yes position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 69% 0.28 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 69% 3.22 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 69% 25.1 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 69% 5.01 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 69% 0.5 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 69% 50.16 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 69% 0.5 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 69% 0.6 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 69% 18.55 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 69% 2.5 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 69% 2.5 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 69% 48.22 shares