Polymarket Trader

dahuaxiyou

0xa5bccc302b9521d32ed765e397c6d5d6c2468853

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $132.09
Realized PnL: $336.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$52.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386.56
Potential profit: $386.56
User PnL: -$73.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.93
Potential profit: $137.93
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $132.09
Potential payout: $133.16
Potential profit: $1.07
User PnL: $65.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$22.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.18
Potential profit: $109.18
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Under position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $45
User PnL: -$4.5

Over position

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $14.93
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.87

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.31

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.86

No position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Seattle Mariners position

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 17?

Yes 21% 155 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 17?

Yes 20% 93.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 17?

Yes 16% 95.98 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 17?

Yes 15.9% 25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 99.9% 205.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 97.1% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 97% 118.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 99.5% 35.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 98.6% 60 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12?

No 63% 79.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12?

No 64% 97 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12?

No 68% 8 shares