Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $4.22
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Polymarket Trader
0xA5c067fBE6E0926E5eef6989172008d892aD9438-1773646407610
0xa5c067fbe6e0926e5eef6989172008d892ad9438
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.04
- Realized PnL
- $4.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $3.22
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $2.31
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.19
- Potential profit
- $2.19
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Y
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes 59% 3.22 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No 96.9% 5.37 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 96.4% 2.31 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 64% 2.19 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yes 98.7% 1.32 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 57% 2.81 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 98.2% 1.22 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No 73% 2.7 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?No 99.2% 1.01 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 56% 4.11 shares
- Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?Yes 94% 5.64 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 97.7% 1.54 shares