sevitama

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.71
Potential profit: $123.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.07
Potential profit: $89.07
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $6.63
Potential payout: $57.69
Potential profit: $51.06
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$8.37

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.08
Potential profit: $56.08
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.27
Potential profit: $52.27
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.6%
Current value: $31.99
Potential payout: $40.21
Potential profit: $8.22
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $16.99

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $4.61
Potential payout: $33.08
Potential profit: $28.46
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $24.23
Potential profit: $19.47
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $11.8
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.68
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Michigan State Spartans position

North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.44
Potential payout: $6.44
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hiroshima" or "Nagasaki" during events with Japanese PM?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

Arkansas Razorbacks position

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $2.19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Trump post "Donald Trump" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next video?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61
Potential profit: $1.61
User PnL: -$1

Louisville Cardinals position

South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $1.58
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.58

UCLA Bruins position

UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $1.44
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $1.43
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.43

Wisconsin Badgers position

High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $1.23
User PnL: -$1

St. Johns Red Storm position

Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $0.02
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $1.15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET