Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $41.93
- Potential profit
- $41.86
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Polymarket Trader
rcapitan
0xa5cbba9e2a8bf817e94dc470a0d3589c85b06882
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $97.07
- Realized PnL
- $2.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $23.06
- Potential payout
- $41.93
- Potential profit
- $18.87
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $19.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $41.93
- Potential profit
- $41.91
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $41.93
- Potential profit
- $41.91
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $41.93
- Potential profit
- $41.91
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $36.93
- Potential profit
- $36.91
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $36.93
- Potential profit
- $36.91
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $36.93
- Potential profit
- $36.83
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $15.06
- Potential payout
- $31.05
- Potential profit
- $15.99
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $12.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or below on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $31.05
- Potential profit
- $31.04
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $31.05
- Potential profit
- $31.04
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $31.05
- Potential profit
- $31
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $31.05
- Potential profit
- $31.04
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $31.05
- Potential profit
- $31.04
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $9.32
- Potential payout
- $31.05
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $6.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $31.05
- Potential profit
- $31
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $26.27
- Potential payout
- $26.28
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $26.02
- Potential profit
- $25.13
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $20.05
- Potential profit
- $19.35
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Current value
- $1.84
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.16
- Multiplier
- 10.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.92
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $19.43
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $16.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.28
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $99.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $83.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.17
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 54°F or higher on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 40°F or higher on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 6?No 90% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 20?Yes 1% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 20?Yes 2% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 20?Yes 1% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 20?Yes 2% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 82°F or higher on May 20?Yes 0.5% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 20?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 20?Yes 37% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 20?Yes 14% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 20?Yes 1.1% 5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 20?Yes 2% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on May 19?Yes 0.1% 5 shares