No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.99K
- Potential profit
- $21.99K
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Polymarket Trader
bargaingreed
0xa5ccc31031045dbf98eb1ffac37e8070233afeb0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $219.78
- Realized PnL
- $7.17K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $213.97
- Potential payout
- $10.44K
- Potential profit
- $10.22K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$320.01
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.39K
- Potential profit
- $10.39K
- User PnL
- -$2.21K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.01K
- Potential profit
- $10.01K
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.03
- Potential payout
- $4.03K
- Potential profit
- $4.02K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.97
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.57K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.21
Yes position
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be less than $100?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $750
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $570.29
- Potential profit
- $570.29
- User PnL
- -$129.8
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $363.64
- Potential profit
- $363.64
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $285.71
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280.67
- Potential profit
- $280.67
- User PnL
- -$47.68
No position
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $277.78
- Potential profit
- $277.78
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $271.08
- Potential profit
- $271.08
- User PnL
- -$203
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235.3
- Potential profit
- $235.3
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.44
- Potential profit
- $157.44
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Star" this week?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.98
- Potential profit
- $124.98
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $37.04
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.94
- Potential profit
- $6.94
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $698.38
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $694.56
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $582.26
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $576.25
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $574.43
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $520.87
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $505.51
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $484
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $456.6
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $353.95
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.51
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.15
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.65
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.62
No position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.12
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.38
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.1
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.78
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.59
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.29
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.86
N
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- $78.45
Yes position
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes 5.8% 156.45 shares
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 0.7% 547.91 shares
- Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?Yes 0.1% 73.64 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 0.8% 62.5 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 35% 1.85 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 1.26 shares
- Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.6% 217.39 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?Yes 0.2% 1,422.73 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes 6% 6,716.73 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?Yes 0.5% 2,152.21 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Yes 0.5% 3,692 shares