Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $311
- Potential profit
- $311
- User PnL
- -$18.66
Polymarket Trader
nzrod
0xa5ce17f6636159ac2b17ebd19d8e7692e26b2fa6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $800.4
- Realized PnL
- $2.24K
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $40.89
- Potential payout
- $281.99
- Potential profit
- $241.1
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$7.05
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $263.86
- Potential payout
- $264
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $221.62
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $13.55
- Potential payout
- $258
- Potential profit
- $244.46
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$27.74
Yes position
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $11.61
- Potential payout
- $247
- Potential profit
- $235.39
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$3.21
Yes position
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.99
- Potential profit
- $207.99
- User PnL
- -$39.12
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $8.28
- Potential payout
- $193
- Potential profit
- $184.72
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$7.16
Yes position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $191
- Potential profit
- $191
- User PnL
- -$40.11
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $179
- Potential profit
- $177.75
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$14.86
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $153
- Potential profit
- $148.87
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $145
- Potential profit
- $142.1
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.25
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $101
- Potential profit
- $98.93
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$8.03
Yes position
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $3.32
- Potential payout
- $98.99
- Potential profit
- $95.67
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$8.98
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $23.03
- Potential payout
- $98
- Potential profit
- $74.97
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$21.07
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $57.67
- Potential payout
- $82.99
- Potential profit
- $25.32
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $17
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$40.8
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $67.91
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $8.09
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $23.07
No position
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $62.25
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $12.75
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $18.75
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.7%
- Current value
- $20.74
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $54.26
- Multiplier
- 3.62x
- User PnL
- -$19.01
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $53.63
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $21.38
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $9.38
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $55.13
- Potential payout
- $74
- Potential profit
- $18.87
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $10.73
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $26.64
- Potential payout
- $73.99
- Potential profit
- $47.35
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$14.8
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $32.31
- Potential payout
- $71
- Potential profit
- $38.7
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$11.72
No position
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.4%
- Current value
- $49.26
- Potential payout
- $70.99
- Potential profit
- $21.73
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $4.54
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Djokovic position
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $618.3
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491.92
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.25
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.19
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.66
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.69
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.59
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.6
Yes position
ChatGPT Outage by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.83
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will none of the eaglets hatch before April 17?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.12
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.52
Yes position
Will "SWIM - BTS" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 11?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.58
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.92
Over 5.5 position
NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. 76ers Total Games O/U 5.5
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.58
Yes position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by June 30?Yes 1% 7 shares
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?Yes 1.6% 258 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?Yes 1.1% 234 shares
- Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?Yes 1% 238 shares
- Will Trump say "Mentally Ill" this week? (February 1)Yes 20% 23.95 shares
- Will Andy Burnham – Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes 9% 17.81 shares
- Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik SinnerDjokovic 10% 687 shares
- Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?Yes 17% 10 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes 8% 762 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes 9% 397 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes 14% 35.64 shares
- Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?Yes 14% 12.83 shares