Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $115.14
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$6.58
Polymarket Trader
0xa5d3A74eefeef8f22DB12fE9AbDfB35C0d1e3C28-1773821455499
@SKramar34220
0xa5d3a74eefeef8f22db12fe9abdfb35c0d1e3c28
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.99
- Realized PnL
- $12.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $6.53
- Potential payout
- $113.5
- Potential profit
- $106.97
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Yes position
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $5.36
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $74.64
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- -$2.64
Yes position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $15.37
- Potential payout
- $58
- Potential profit
- $42.63
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
No position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $5.92
- Potential payout
- $53.81
- Potential profit
- $47.89
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$15.48
Yes position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $19.95
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.35
- Potential profit
- $19.35
- User PnL
- -$8.32
Yes position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $8.65
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes 31.1% 30 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93.4% 10 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 83% 10 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 88% 10 shares
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?Yes 10% 80 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No 94% 9 shares
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 8% 100 shares
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 7.9% 13.5 shares
- China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No 90% 10 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No 92% 9 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 29% 40 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 28% 18 shares