Polymarket Trader

0xa5d868620f25afb619d748e552Fba73CFA6F415C-1766135181120

0xa5d868620f25afb619d748e552fba73cfa6f415c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.92K
Realized PnL: $2.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $913
Potential profit: $913
User PnL: -$806.84

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $826.22
Potential profit: $826.22
User PnL: -$774.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $591.15
Potential payout: $619
Potential profit: $27.86
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.79

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $602.91
Potential payout: $613.02
Potential profit: $10.11
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $38.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $497.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $2.25
User PnL: $4.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $390
Potential profit: $390
User PnL: -$331.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $307.6
Potential profit: $307.6
User PnL: -$256.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $226.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $23.75
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.6
Potential profit: $232.6
User PnL: -$193.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$24

No position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$28

No position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$31.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.1

Yes position

Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.64

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.27

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.35

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.23

Yes position

Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.46

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.27

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.44

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.84

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.84

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.6

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.54

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.32

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.66

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.63

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

No 91% 250 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 97.9% 135 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 95.7% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 95.7% 69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 95.6% 187.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 95.6% 262.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 92.3% 80 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 90.9% 77.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 98.6% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 89.9% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 89.7% 220.04 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

No 99.1% 319 shares