Polymarket Trader

alternategiraffe

0xa5dd7ea58eea1f88545762dbed32d791903d9136

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $72.52
Realized PnL: $102
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Atlanta Braves position

Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $4.42
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $4.51
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.58

New York Yankees position

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $4.37
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $4.55
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $3.93
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $4.06
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $3.6
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.28
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$4.95

No position

Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.28
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$4.95

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $3.25

New York Yankees position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $4.87
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $3.46
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $3.37
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $4.43
Potential payout: $8.2
Potential profit: $3.77
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $3.19
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $5.32
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $2.74
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $0.32

Virtus.pro position

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $7.94
Potential profit: $2.9
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $6.09
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $1.72
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $2.65
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

RED Canids position

LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Nemiga position

Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Yes position

Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-05-29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Jaqueline Amorim position

UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Over position

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Washington Mystics position

Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-05-31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-05-29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-06-06?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Washington Nationals position

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Dallas Wings position

Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Under position

Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Monte position

Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Under position

Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Over position

Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Yes position

Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

No position

Will Greece win on 2026-06-07?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 56% 8.93 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 60% 8.33 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

No 65% 7.69 shares
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Virtus.pro 63% 7.94 shares
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

No 64% 7.81 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 62% 8.06 shares
Portugal leading at halftime?

No 62% 8.06 shares
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)

Nazim Sadykhov 62% 8.06 shares
UFC Fight Night: Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev (Middleweight, Prelims)

Nursulton Ruziboev 62% 8.06 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 59% 8.47 shares
Argentina leading at halftime?

Yes 65% 7.69 shares
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 55% 9.09 shares