Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $55
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $278.33
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$45
Polymarket Trader
JMS1
0xa5f10b7255c09f87b92c83ef0095c65eeb89572a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $207.7
- Realized PnL
- $1.03K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $20.02
- Potential payout
- $235.57
- Potential profit
- $215.55
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$95.93
No position
Will USD/KRW hit 1400 (Low) in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $99.18
- Potential payout
- $177.1
- Potential profit
- $77.93
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$40.82
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $22.31
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $131.54
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$77.69
Yes position
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $6.3
- Potential payout
- $139.9
- Potential profit
- $133.6
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$8.7
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.75
- Potential profit
- $93.75
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.76
- Potential profit
- $73.76
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.3%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $12.17
- Potential profit
- $7.27
- Multiplier
- 2.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.33
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.25
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.16
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.59
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.85
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.03
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.3
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.73
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.89
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.63
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.35
No position
Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.46
No position
Will Trump say "China" during Monday news conference?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.35
Yes position
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22
No position
Will Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will USD/KRW hit 1400 (Low) in 2026?No 79% 177.1 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 30% 333.33 shares
- Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 4.1% 195.93 shares
- Will Trump say "Insurance" during healthcare event?Yes 95% 27.77 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 99.3% 239.43 shares
- Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?Yes 97.4% 237.75 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes 93% 26.49 shares
- Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?Leadership Change 32.8% 59.83 shares
- Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down 57.9% 50.78 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes 73% 41.66 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No 25% 198.48 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?No 6.8% 73.76 shares