Polymarket Trader

NiKoCosK

0xa5fb12e4f887b23aabe89769ee80499ea55c4bfd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.88
Realized PnL: $64.32
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $556.12
Potential profit: $556.12
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.63
Potential profit: $29.63
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $3.88
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $11.05
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $2.88

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.64
Potential profit: $11.64
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.48
Potential profit: $11.48
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $10.2
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 33°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or below on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.26
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.97
Potential profit: $3.97
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.17
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32

Alexander Zverev position

Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Harriet Dart position

Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Harriet Dart

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.17

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 4?

Yes 6.7% 14.93 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 3?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on July 2?

Yes 86% 2.77 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on July 2?

Yes 36% 2.78 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 1?

Yes 86% 3.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 1?

Yes 30% 3.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 30?

Yes 26% 3.12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 30?

Yes 32% 3.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 30?

Yes 62% 1.61 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 28?

Yes 30% 3.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 27?

Yes 99.2% 3.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 27?

Yes 30% 3.33 shares