Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $91.3
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$108.49
Polymarket Trader
Apeje
0xa604f10324e4bd9d8f3f395b37d51846342a6f81
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $91.3
- Realized PnL
- $804.41
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.35
Yes position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$174
Yes position
Will Iran strike eight countries in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$235.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?Yes 79% 171.2 shares
- Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?Yes 24% 11.9 shares
- Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in March 2026?Yes 8.7% 40.88 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 52% 219.81 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 49% 256.38 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 50% 45 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes 64% 154.03 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 17% 587 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 17% 217.65 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 11% 300 shares