No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Polymarket Trader
iain384gabriela
0xa60ba8c97b0cb624f93bdcdf9a48d4f7e9da7624
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.67
- Realized PnL
- $7.58
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $2.92
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.06x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championship?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 97.3% 12 shares
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 97.3% 38 shares
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 95.9% 39 shares
- Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?No 98.4% 5 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 14.1% 0.92 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 14.4% 33 shares
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 2.5% 74 shares
- Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No 97.1% 38 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.5% 41 shares
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 86.4% 32 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 89.1% 26.84 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 96.6% 38 shares