Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$105
Polymarket Trader
Thorkel07
0xa614367911f504ae7cb605a9d8c18c97ba427d4c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $2.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $677.25
- Potential profit
- $677.25
- User PnL
- -$67.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $398.46
- Potential profit
- $398.46
- User PnL
- -$206.11
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO1)
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $379.99
- Potential profit
- $379.99
- User PnL
- -$234.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $343.43
- Potential profit
- $343.43
- User PnL
- -$60
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $335.42
- Potential profit
- $335.42
- User PnL
- -$55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $332.48
- Potential profit
- $332.48
- User PnL
- -$30.37
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.99
- Potential profit
- $309.99
- User PnL
- -$5.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $302.22
- Potential profit
- $302.22
- User PnL
- -$160.08
Up position
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$8.37
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$186.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $287.33
- Potential profit
- $287.33
- User PnL
- -$65.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $257.97
- Potential profit
- $257.97
- User PnL
- -$71.43
Germany position
Spread: Germany (-1.5)
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$56.1
Weibo Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$64.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $213.82
- Potential profit
- $213.82
- User PnL
- -$61.42
G2 Esports position
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.99
- Potential profit
- $209.99
- User PnL
- -$118.6
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$14.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.44
- Potential profit
- $192.44
- User PnL
- -$52.51
Bills position
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.25
- Potential profit
- $181.25
- User PnL
- -$10
Karmine Corp position
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO1)
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$103.44
Grizzlies position
Grizzlies vs. Magic
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$46.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.31
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.31
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.07
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.81
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.58
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.79
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 39.8% 12.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 38% 13.16 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 32.4% 15.44 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 43% 11.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 59.4% 8.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 58% 8.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 60% 8.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 59% 8.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 56% 44.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp 57% 43.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp 69% 36.23 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp 66% 37.88 shares