No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $1.54K
- Potential payout
- $4.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.92K
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.14K
Polymarket Trader
oracleoforanje
0xa61635cc6e482df9be5bcbd8bd27242c9507f60e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.09K
- Realized PnL
- -$320.14
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $19.13
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $9.95
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $773.3
- Potential payout
- $789.48
- Potential profit
- $16.18
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.87
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $700.4
- Potential payout
- $729.96
- Potential profit
- $29.56
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$7.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.61
Yes position
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.23
Yes position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.09
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.69
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $14.02
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.79
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $6.59
Yes position
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
No position
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$74.41
No position
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$99.18
No position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$273.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 60% 3,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.8% 1,849.98 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 60% 1,462.4 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 97.5% 473.69 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 97.4% 302.44 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 96.9% 679.88 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 99.3% 380.77 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 99.8% 1,944.78 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 98.1% 6.04 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 99.3% 485.89 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 99.2% 15.58 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 99.1% 21.6 shares