Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $72.08
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Polymarket Trader
prevmort
0xa6354135cb67fb6ca7b800f31d91838ad963d9ac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $40.55
- Realized PnL
- $3.68
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $14.72
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $40.83
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $9.72
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $14.58
- Potential payout
- $28.3
- Potential profit
- $13.73
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 59% 16.95 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 41% 24.39 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 9% 55.56 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 18% 83.33 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 36% 5.75 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 34% 14.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 53% 28.3 shares