Polymarket Trader

JAX-is-a-fool

0xa63748deadd850753342caaaeb10330d92763494

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $112.96
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: $0

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$1.08

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.33
Potential profit: $101.33
User PnL: -$100.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.42
Potential profit: $23.42
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.25
Potential profit: $21.25
User PnL: -$13.6

No position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.16
Potential profit: $21.16
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.91
Potential profit: $16.91
User PnL: -$0.92

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$5.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 19?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.9

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.88

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.88

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.88

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.88

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.88

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.88

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.88

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.88

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.88

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.88

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.88

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.88

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.79

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.09

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 78°F or higher on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.66

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C or higher on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 4?

No 0.1% 313.91 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 4?

No 95.6% 313.91 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 2?

No 95% 142 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 2?

No 94% 169.17 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 1?

No 94.7% 316.75 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31?

No 95.4% 314.57 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 24?

No 99.6% 324 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 27?

No 99% 15 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 27?

No 99% 10 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 27?

No 99% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 25?

No 98% 50.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 25?

No 99% 15 shares