No position
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $387.3
- Potential payout
- $634.92
- Potential profit
- $247.62
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$12.7
Polymarket Trader
berserker
0xa6596c4c1561536d53f1cb4a5067f1d713d61eaa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.98K
- Realized PnL
- $6.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $561.99
- Potential profit
- $561.99
- User PnL
- -$500.17
No position
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $391.35
- Potential payout
- $391.94
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- User PnL
- $26.85
No position
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.8%
- Current value
- $256.7
- Potential payout
- $334.46
- Potential profit
- $77.76
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $6.7
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $266.37
- Potential payout
- $297.62
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $16.37
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $279.31
- Potential payout
- $284
- Potential profit
- $4.69
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $29.39
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.6%
- Current value
- $245.54
- Potential payout
- $268.2
- Potential profit
- $22.66
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $45.65
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $251.1
- Potential profit
- $251.1
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $227.33
- Potential payout
- $232.56
- Potential profit
- $5.23
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $27.33
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $194.81
- Potential profit
- $194.81
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $164.84
- Potential profit
- $164.84
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143
- Potential profit
- $143
- User PnL
- -$100.1
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $141.93
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- User PnL
- $41.93
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $135.1
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $4.9
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $31.5
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $124.99
- Potential payout
- $128.99
- Potential profit
- $4
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $24.38
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $120.48
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.9
- Potential profit
- $113.9
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $112.9
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- User PnL
- $12.9
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.4%
- Current value
- $86.23
- Potential payout
- $112.87
- Potential profit
- $26.64
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$13.77
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $109.17
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $1.94
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $9.17
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $109.69
- Potential payout
- $110.08
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $109.51
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100.2
- Potential profit
- $100.2
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.81
- Potential profit
- $63.81
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $954.79
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $646.88
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $579.42
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $514.12
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.06
Yes position
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $230.17
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.9
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.47
No position
Did Barron Trump launch $DJT?
Ends Jun 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.31
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.16
FaZe position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FaZe (BO1)
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.38
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.85
Y
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.15
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.51
No position
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.22
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
No position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.98
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.89
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $60,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No 63% 634.92 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 74.5% 268.2 shares
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?No 77% 194.81 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 90% 111.11 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 87.8% 113.9 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 49.9% 100.2 shares
- US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?No 86% 232.56 shares
- Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No 74.7% 334.46 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 96.6% 258.71 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?No 87.6% 142.73 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 85% 277.65 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 88% 113.64 shares