Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $115.42
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$145.68
Polymarket Trader
xlqeuotp
0xa65be4261a2d2559b70e88cac754f41568070ea2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $121.12
- Realized PnL
- -$11.23
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $5.7
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $22.87
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- -$4.3
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Peter Attia out by February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 15% 1,513.07 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 262.69 shares
- Peter Attia out by February 15?Yes 75% 6.67 shares
- Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 2.9% 172.41 shares
- Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 72% 13.89 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETUp 43% 2.26 shares
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes 38% 13.16 shares
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No 38% 26.32 shares
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 70% 14.29 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 35% 28.57 shares
- Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?Yes 16% 31.25 shares