Polymarket Trader

pika8991

0xa65f25c228f73c20ee0502a780c492d7b3ce9c8d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $122.5
Realized PnL: $320.64
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Solana Up or Down - August 15, 12AM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $116
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $684
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8AM ET

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.15
Potential profit: $163.15
User PnL: -$77.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3AM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.14
Potential profit: $130.14
User PnL: -$51.7

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $124
Potential profit: $119.85
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$19.41

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $2.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $97.65
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$10.65

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 1AM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.24
Potential profit: $82.24
User PnL: -$35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3AM ET

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.29
Potential profit: $58.29
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Solana Up or Down - August 15, 7AM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2AM ET

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.74
Potential profit: $37.74
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3PM ET

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.08
Potential profit: $34.08
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 2AM ET

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 6AM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$9.9

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 4AM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.86
Potential profit: $27.86
User PnL: -$13.4

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 3PM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$13.8

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 3AM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $16.95
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12PM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2AM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1AM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1PM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6AM ET

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.32

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.37

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $20.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4AM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.48

Down position

Solana Up or Down - August 15, 2PM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 5AM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2PM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7AM ET

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.59

Down position

Solana Up or Down - August 15, 12AM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

Down position

Solana Up or Down - August 15, 5AM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 2AM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5AM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7AM ET

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3PM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.3

Down position

Solana Up or Down - August 16, 8AM ET

Ends Aug 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.11

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 7AM ET

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$33.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 19% 24 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 26% 800 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 19% 100 shares
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 13% 100 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 21% 299.41 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 14% 26.56 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 2AM ET

Up 60% 33.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2AM ET

Up 53% 37.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3PM ET

Up 58.7% 34.08 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 14% 142.86 shares
Solana Up or Down - August 16, 8AM ET

Down 14.7% 64.06 shares
Solana Up or Down - August 16, 8AM ET

Down 58.7% 34.07 shares