No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $405
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $595
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $205
Polymarket Trader
0xA669c6B04f73978Da85c67c5383Aca5afE5799AD-1768132132061
0xa669c6b04f73978da85c67c5383aca5afe5799ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $868.46
- Realized PnL
- -$392.77
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $31.1
- Potential payout
- $840.57
- Potential profit
- $809.47
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$18.9
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $670.39
- Potential profit
- $670.39
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $588.24
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $332.84
- Potential payout
- $333.34
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $82.83
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.1%
- Current value
- $99.53
- Potential payout
- $292.29
- Potential profit
- $192.77
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $74.53
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.72
- Potential profit
- $51.72
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.73
- Potential profit
- $35.73
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.08
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.93
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.13
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
Yes position
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 36% 1,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 93% 333.33 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 30.2% 292.29 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 75% 666.67 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?Yes 17% 588.24 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No 29.8% 670.39 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 61.4% 814.18 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No 64% 78.13 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 78% 64.1 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 64% 78.13 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 51% 196.08 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes 28% 35.73 shares